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Zhongjin's fixed income: the financing demand is weak under the background of debt conversion, and the monetary policy needs to continue to increase. Zhongjin's fixed income commented on the financial data in November, saying that it is expected that the currency will be loose or significantly accelerated next year, while the short-term interest rate may have a large downside. Under the background of slow real estate recovery, the domestic economy has stabilized relatively moderately, and the long-term interest rate has been affected or relatively limited. Next year, monetary and fiscal cooperation will be closer, and the supply factor of government bonds may not have much disturbance to the long end. Recently, the market has fully priced loose expectations, and the long-term interest rate has dropped rapidly. Next year, with the RRR cut, the short-term interest rate will fall or accelerate, and the yield curve will move down sharply.Report: The number of online stores opened by China enterprises in the United States has increased rapidly. According to the report released by SmartScout Insight, among the top 20 cities in terms of Amazon sellers, China city occupies 14 seats, showing the strong strength of China sellers on Amazon platform. The total number of Amazon sellers in China's top 20 cities reached 232,000, compared with 58,000 in the United States. In 2023, the number of sellers in China with sales exceeding $10 million increased by 30% year-on-year, and the number of sellers in China with sales exceeding $1 million also increased significantly.Shanghai Stock Exchange: This week, the coastal market has a surplus of transportation capacity, and the comprehensive index is under pressure. According to Shanghai Stock Exchange, this week, the downstream demand is sluggish, the terminal purchasing enthusiasm is not high, and due to multiple factors such as the recovery of ship turnover and the return of concurrently operated ships, the market transportation capacity is surplus, and the comprehensive index is slightly lower. On December 13th, the China coastal (bulk) comprehensive freight index released by Shanghai Shipping Exchange closed at 1123.01 points, down 1.7% from the previous period.

The second vote of the National Assembly on the impeachment case of Xiyue is obviously shaken and split within the ruling party. At 4 pm local time on the 14th (3 pm Beijing time today), the plenary session of the National Assembly of South Korea will once again vote on the impeachment case of South Korean President Yin Xiyue. If the impeachment case is approved by at least two thirds, that is, at least 200 votes, Yin Xiyue will be suspended immediately and the impeachment case will be handed over to the Korean Constitutional Court for a final ruling. Since the opposition camp in South Korea, which supports the impeachment of Yin Xiyue, has a majority of 192 seats in the National Assembly, Yin Xiyue's impeachment case will be passed in the National Assembly of South Korea as long as 8 of the 108 ruling party members vote in favor. It is reported that the ruling party will hold another emergency meeting of members of parliament before voting this afternoon. According to the news coming out, the ruling party may revise its boycott position in the last voting and will not restrict members from entering the venue to vote. Some analysts even said that the number of members of the ruling party in favor of the impeachment case may far exceed eight. (CCTV News)Two-way opening-up continues to deepen, and foreign-funded institutions continue to be optimistic about China's capital market. Near the end of the year, many foreign-funded institutions have issued investment strategies for 2025. Foreign-funded institutions generally believe that a series of incremental policies since the end of September are gradually exerting their effects, providing strong support for China's stable economic growth and high-quality development. At the same time, the interconnection of financial markets continues to deepen, and the system of qualified foreign investors continues to be optimized, which also makes foreign investors' interest in investing in China continue to rise. Many foreign-funded institutions such as Goldman Sachs, UBS and Morgan Asset Management continue to be optimistic about the market outlook of China's capital market. Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley in China, said that the regulatory authorities are increasingly friendly to foreign investment, and the attention of overseas long-term capital and foreign investors to China is also developing in a positive direction. With the coordinated efforts of reform, it is believed that China's economy and market confidence will continue to stabilize and rebound. (Securities Times)Moody's: Political division in France is more likely to hinder meaningful fiscal consolidation.

 Yellen urged the incoming Trump administration not to take radical measures to interfere with the necessary banking supervision. According to Reuters's exclusive information, US Treasury Secretary Yellen urged the incoming Trump administration not to interfere with the proper supervision of the capital level, liquidity and risk-taking of American banks on the 13th local time, which is essential to ensure the health of the banking system. Reuters mentioned that Yellen has served as finance minister in Biden's government since January 2021. She said that the current regulatory system in the United States is not perfect, and it is reasonable to seek ways to reduce the burden. However, she also warned that in view of the history of financial crisis caused by bank failures, radical measures should not be taken to interfere with necessary supervision. "I don't want to say that what we have is absolutely sacred or untouchable. But I don't think it collapsed. We have a good system, "Yellen told Reuters. (World Wide Web)